posted by System Administrator on 11/11/04
You probably don't know it, but the answer to America's gasoline
addiction could be under the hood of your car. More than five million Tauruses,
Explorers, Stratuses, Suburbans, and other vehicles are already equipped with
engines that can run on an energy source that costs less than gasoline,
produces almost none of the emissions that cause global warming, and comes from
the Midwest, not the Middle East.
These lucky drivers need never pay for gasoline again--if only they could find
this elusive fuel, called ethanol. Chemically, ethanol is identical to the
grain alcohol you may have spiked the punch with in college. It also went into
gasohol, that 1970s concoction that
brings back memories of Jimmy Carter in a cardigan and outrageous subsidies
from Washington. But while the chemistry is the same, the economics, technology,
and politics of ethanol are profoundly different.
Instead of coming exclusively from corn or sugar cane as it
has up to now, thanks to biotech breakthroughs, the fuel can be made out of
everything from prairie switchgrass and wood chips to corn husks and other
agricultural waste. This biomass-derived
fuel is known as cellulosic ethanol. Whatever the source, burning ethanol
instead of gasoline reduces carbon emissions by more than 80% while eliminating
entirely the release of acid-rain-causing sulfur dioxide. Even the cautious Department of Energy predicts that ethanol
could put a 30% dent in America's gasoline consumption by 2030.
We may not have to wait that long. After decades of being
merely an additive to gasoline, ethanol suddenly looks to be the stuff of a
fuel revolution--and a pipe dream for futurists. An unlikely alliance of
venture capitalists, Wall Streeters, automakers, environmentalists, farmers,
and, yes, politicians is doing more than just talk about ethanol's potential.
They're putting real money into biorefineries, car engines that switch
effortlessly between gasoline and biofuels, and R&D to churn out ethanol more
cheaply. (By the way, the reason motorists don't know about the five-million- plus
ethanol-ready cars and trucks on the road is that until now Detroit never felt
the need to tell them. Automakers quietly added the flex-fuel feature to get a
break from fuel-economy standards.)
What's more, powerful political lobbies in Washington that
never used to concern themselves with botanical affairs are suddenly focusing
on ethanol. "Energy dependence is America's economic, environmental, and
security Achilles' heel," says Nathanael Greene of the Natural Resources
Defense Council, a mainstream environmental group. National- security hawks
agree. Says former CIA chief James Woolsey: "We've got a coalition of tree
huggers, do-gooders, sodbusters, hawks, and evangelicals." (Yes, he did
say "evangelicals"--some have found common ground with greens in the
notion of environmental stewardship.)
The next five years could see ethanol go from a mere sliver
of the fuel pie to a major energy solution in a world where the cost of relying
on a finite supply of oil is way too high. As that happens, says Vinod Khosla,
a Silicon Valley venture capitalist who has become one of the nation's most
influential ethanol advocates, "I'm absolutely convinced that without
putting any more land under agriculture and without changing our food
production, we can introduce enough ethanol in the U.S. to replace themajority
of our petroleum use in cars and light trucks."
Filling up on ethanol isn't new. Henry Ford's Model Ts ran
on it. What's changing is the cost of
distilling ethanol and the advantages it brings over rival fuels. Energy visionaries like to dream about hydrogen as
the ultimate replacement for fossil fuels, but switching to it would mean a
trillion-dollar upheaval--for new production and
distribution systems, new fuel stations, and new cars. Not
so with ethanol--today's gas stations
can handle the most common mixture of 85% ethanol and 15% gasoline, called E85,
with minimal retrofitting. It takes about 30% more ethanol than gasoline to drive
a mile, and the stuff is more corrosive, but building a car that's E85-ready
adds only about $200 to the cost.
Ethanol has already transformed one major economy: In Brazil nearly
three-quarters of new cars can burn either ethanol or gasoline, whichever
happens to be cheaper at the pump, and the nation has weaned itself off imported
oil.
Excerpted from CNNMoney.com FORTUNE by Adam Lashinsky and Nelson D. Schwartz 01-24-06
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